Wexler’s Mock – Pick #16

Oh look.

The Seattle Pilots are back on the clock.

Again.

At this point, half the first round feels less like a draft and more like an extended Seattle team-building exercise. Somewhere around Pick #12 I started wondering if the Pilots were simply going to draft every player I like and leave the rest of the league to sort out the leftovers.

To their credit, they’ve been remarkably committed to a philosophy.

No half measures.

No playing it safe.

No drafting for immediate need.

Just upside.

Pure, uncut upside.

And with most of the appealing three-star pitching options now gone, Seattle once again turns its attention to the bats.

Two names stand out.

Aramis Ramirez.

Troy Glaus.

Both talented.

Both flawed.

Both capable of making a general manager look brilliant or unemployed.

Flip a coin.

Seattle lands on Troy Glaus.

And honestly, it fits everything they’ve done so far.

Because if there is one player remaining on the board who perfectly embodies the phrase “outcomes may vary dramatically,” it’s Glaus.

Let’s start with the obvious.

Eighteen potential power.

Eighteen.

That’s the kind of number that makes front offices suddenly forget every flaw in a prospect profile.

Could he eventually hit 50 home runs?

Absolutely.

Could he hit 55?

Also yes.

Could he occasionally hit baseballs so hard they require federal investigation?

Probably.

The power is real.

The power is spectacular.

The power is why he’s being drafted here.

Now for the other side of the coin.

The contact ability is… concerning.

The strikeout totals could be legendary.

There are seasons in this player’s future where the batting average might actively offend traditional baseball fans.

A fully developed Troy Glaus could realistically hit .225 while launching baseballs into neighboring zip codes.

And you know what?

Seattle doesn’t care.

Not even a little.

Look at the lineup they’re building.

Vladimir Guerrero.

Paul Lo Duca.

Ken Griffey Jr.

Edgar Martinez.

Those players can get on base.

Those players can create opportunities.

Glaus doesn’t need to be a complete hitter.

He needs to walk into the batter’s box and make pitchers terrified of making a mistake.

Mission accomplished.

Defensively, things are less inspiring.

A nine at third base isn’t exactly making anyone rush to engrave Gold Gloves. There are legitimate questions about whether he’ll ever be more than adequate at the position.

But again, Seattle appears perfectly willing to live with imperfections if the upside justifies it.

And at Pick #16, it absolutely does.

This is the classic draft fork in the road.

One path offers safety.

Predictability.

A high floor.

The other offers risk.

Volatility.

The possibility of greatness.

Seattle has spent this entire draft sprinting down the second path without looking back.

Why stop now?

PICK #16

Seattle Pilots select 3B Troy Glaus